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New York (CNN) — Is the artificial intelligence boom on Wall Street a bubble primed to burst or the real deal? That’s the question investors have wrestled with since the Magnificent Seven tech stocks began turbocharging a powerful market rally last year. “A new bubble within a bubble like this, even one limited to a handful of stocks, is totally unprecedented,” he wrote in a Monday blog post. “The long-run prospects for the broad US stock market here look as poor as almost any other time in history,” he wrote. Still, the notorious market bear sees some areas of opportunity in the stock market.
Persons: , Jeremy Grantham, , Grantham, Granthan, , Hanna Ziady, Abu, Adnoc, NewMed Energy’s, Gan, Marc Stewart, Wayne Chang, ByteDance, ” Wang Wenbin, Wang Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, ” Tech, Monster, Nvidia, Boston, Federal Reserve, ChatGPT, BP, UAE, United Arab Emirates, NewMed Energy, Energy, Starbucks, McDonald’s, KFC, CNN Wednesday Locations: New York, Grantham, Israel, Gaza, Tel Aviv, China, America, American, Beijing
London CNN —BP and an oil company owned by the United Arab Emirates have shelved talks to buy a 50% stake in Israel’s leading natural gas producer, judging the $2 billion deal too risky as the war in Gaza rages. “There can be no certainty that discussions will resume or that an agreement will be reached in the future, nor as to the terms of an agreement should one be reached,” NewMed Energy said. But the war has strained those ties, and the UAE has repeatedly called for an “immediate ceasefire” in Gaza. Separately, BP was one of six companies awarded licenses by Israel’s energy ministry in October to explore for natural gas off the country’s Mediterranean cost. Last month, they announced a joint venture to develop natural gas assets in Egypt.
Persons: Abu, Adnoc, NewMed Energy’s, Delek Organizations: London CNN, BP, United Arab Emirates, Energy, Starbucks, McDonald’s, KFC, NewMed Energy, Reuters, NewMed, Chevron Locations: Gaza, Tel Aviv, Israel, UAE, Egypt
Vinyl records are now so hot they move UK inflation
  + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
London CNN —The prices of vinyl records will feed into UK inflation statistics for the first time since 1992, highlighting a surge in their popularity among British consumers driven in part by Taylor Swift. UK inflation has slowed from 11.1% to 4% but remains above the central bank’s 2% target. LPs — which dropped out of the UK inflation basket more than three decades ago, owing to the rise of CDs and cassettes — have made a huge comeback in recent years. Last year, 6.1 million vinyl records were sold in Britain, the highest number since 1990, according to data from the British Phonographic Industry, an association of UK record companies and labels. Air fryers, rice cakes reflect healthier habitsOther new items in this year’s inflation basket highlight the wider adoption of healthier lifestyles.
Persons: Taylor Swift, Matt Corder, , Taylor Swift’s, Jo Twist, fryer, sanitizer, Organizations: London CNN, National Statistics, Bank of England, British Phonographic Industry, BPI Locations: Britain
The deadly strike marks a significant escalation of the Houthi attacks on ships in the Red Sea and and comes despite a US-led naval coalition to protect the crucial waterway. Fewer ships appear to be transiting through the Red Sea and adjoining Suez Canal after the latest attack, according to maritime risks analytics company Windward. According to Windward, the number of bulk carriers anchoring outside ports to the north and south of the Suez Canal surged 225% Wednesday compared with the previous day. Windward data shows that last month the number of bulk carriers in the Red Sea was already at its lowest level in two years. Just 30% of the usual shipping capacity — including container ships, bulk carriers, car carriers, and tankers carrying oil and liquefied natural gas — is still passing through the Red Sea and Suez Canal, according to Sand.
Persons: Ami Daniel, , Peter Sand, , Hapag Lloyd —, Christine Lagarde, CMA CGM, Stephen Cotton, Cotton, David Ashmore, Reed Smith, John Stawpert, ” Maisie Linford Organizations: London CNN, Liberian, ” Windward, CNN, Maersk, MSC, European Central Bank, Drewry, CMA, International Transport Workers ’ Federation, International Chamber of Shipping Locations: Red Sea, Iran, Suez, Africa, Windward, Red, Norway, Sand, , London, Good, Gulf, Aden and Red, Aden
New York CNN —Nvidia isn’t the only stock capturing the attention of AI enthusiasts these days. Nvidia closed above a $2 trillion market cap on March 1, joining an elite cohort including Apple and Microsoft. Supermicro’s stock gained even more momentum in January, after the company reported second-quarter results that blew past expectations and raised its full-year revenue forecast. Supermicro’s stock was one of the most popular names bought by Charles Schwab clients in February, according to the firm’s latest trading activity index. New York Community Bank gets $1 billion ‘lifeline’Beleaguered regional lender New York Community Bank is receiving a more than $1 billion equity investment, reports my colleague Elisabeth Buchwald.
Persons: Charles Schwab, ChatGPT, , , Supermicro, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Elisabeth Buchwald, Steven Mnuchin’s, NYCB, ” David Chiaverini, Joseph Otting, Alessandro DiNello, DiNello, Read, Jeremy Hunt, Hanna Ziady, Hunt, ” Hunt, Rishi Sunak’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Micro, Devices, Federal Reserve, Victoria Bills, Banrion Capital Management, Bank of America, Goldman, New York Community Bank, New, Community Bank, Liberty Strategic Capital, Citadel Global, Street Journal, Wedbush Securities, CNN, Bank of England, International Monetary Fund, Hunt’s Conservative Party, Labour Party Locations: New York, San Jose, United States, Hudson Bay, NYCB
A cut to national insurance — a levy paid by people who work — costing around £10 billion ($12.7 billion) is likely, according to multiple UK media reports. But soaring government debt, crumbling public services and a lackluster economy leave the chancellor with very little room for further substantial giveaways. Christopher Furlong/Getty ImagesOther so-called “unprotected” areas of the national budget, such as social care and the police force, are also at risk. “That seems unlikely when public services are creaking,” they added. OBR chair Richard Hughes said in January that the government had provided no detailed breakdown of departmental spending plans beyond March next year, giving only headline figures.
Persons: Jeremy Hunt, Rishi Sunak’s, Hunt, , Laura Kuenssberg, Jeff, Christopher Furlong, , Richard Hughes, ” Hughes Organizations: London CNN —, Bank of England, Treasury, “ Conservatives, ” Hunt’s Conservative Party, Labour Party, Reuters, Office, National Statistics, Local Government Association, House, National Health Service, Capital Economics, Locations: Ukraine, Birmingham, England
London CNN —The Church of England has welcomed a report that calls for it to spearhead the establishment of a £1 billion ($1.3 billion) fund to address its historical ties to slavery. The Church Commissioners group, which manages the church’s £10.3 billion ($13 billion) investments, has accepted the report “in full,” the church said in a statement. The report also calls for the Church Commissioners to build up the value of the fund by bringing in co-investors while also increasing its own allocation. The Church of England is the established church in the United Kingdom. It also urged the Church Commissioners to deliver the full sum committed to the fund sooner than over the nine years originally envisaged.
Persons: , Archbishop of Canterbury Justin Welby, Bishop Rosemarie Mallett, Canterbury Justin Welby, Toby Melville, Welby, George Floyd Organizations: London CNN, of, , for, Commissioners, South Sea Company, REUTERS, National Archives, Bank of Locations: of England, Black, United Kingdom, Barbados, London, REUTERS Britain, Historic England, Caribbean, Bank of England, United States
London CNN —Damage to undersea cables in the Red Sea is disrupting global telecommunications networks and forcing internet providers to reroute as much as a quarter of traffic between Asia, Europe and the Middle East. Cables belonging to four major telecoms networks have been “cut” causing “significant” disruption to communications networks in the Middle East, according to Hong Kong telecoms company HGC Global Communications. HGC estimates that 25% of traffic between Asia and Europe as well the Middle East has been impacted, it said in a statement Monday. Among the networks affected is the Europe India Gateway, spanning 15,000 kilometers (9,320 miles) between Europe, the Middle East and India. Asia-Africa-Europe, a 25,000-kilometer cable system connecting South East Asia to Europe via Egypt, has also been damaged.
Persons: ” HGC, Abdel Malek al, Houthi, Wayne Chang, Celine Alkhaldi, Alex Stambaugh Organizations: London CNN, Cables, HGC Global Communications, Globes Locations: Asia, Europe, Hong Kong, Iranian, Red, Europe India, East, India, Africa, South East Asia, Egypt, Taipei, Abu Dhabi
Lowe’s: The home improvement giant projected total sales of $84 billion to $85 billion for 2024 in fourth-quarter results reported on Tuesday. Mortgage rates edge closer to 7%, dampening start of spring homebuying seasonUS mortgage rates climbed for the fourth week in a row, inching closer to 7% just as peak homebuying season gets underway, reports my colleague Anna Bahney. “Mortgage rates continued their ascent this week, reaching a two-month high and flirting with 7% yet again,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, in a statement. Since reaching a 20-year high of 7.79% in October, mortgage rates have been slowly falling. But in recent weeks, as the market absorbs expectations that the Federal Reserve will not cut its benchmark lending rate until later this year, mortgage rates have trended higher.
Persons: they’re, , Marvin Ellison, Macy’s, Tony Spring, Corie Barry, , ” Barry, Diksha Madhok, Hanna Ziady, , Thamashi De Silva, Knight Frank, Read, Anna Bahney, Freddie Mac, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, Khater Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN — Companies, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, United States’s, Gross, Capital Economics, Locations: New York, That’s, India
Gross domestic product in India surged 8.4% in the final three months of 2023 compared with a year prior, up from growth of 7.6% in the June-to-September period, the country’s statistics office said Thursday. The latest rise is much stronger than analysts expected and means India’s economy “ended last year with a bang,” Thamashi De Silva, assistant India economist at Capital Economics, wrote in a note. “That pace of growth was the strongest among major economies last quarter,” she said, also noting that in 2023 as a whole GDP grew 7.7%. Analysts at Jefferies expect the country to become the world’s third-largest economy by 2027, up from fifth currently. But “any slowdown in growth will be mild, particularly as the government’s infrastructure drive is likely to prop up activity,” she added.
Persons: , Thamashi De Silva, , Narendra Modi, Elon Musk, India “, Modi, ” Musk, De Silva Organizations: London CNN, Gross, Capital Economics, Monetary Fund, Jefferies, Apple Locations: India, China, Washington, Beijing
London CNN —The world’s largest brewer may have lost as much as $1.4 billion in sales because of the backlash to its brief partnership with a transgender influencer to promote Bud Light beer. Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) reported record revenues for 2023 Thursday but said its “full growth potential was constrained” by its US business, where sales were hurt by a boycott of Bud Light over a sponsored Instagram post with Dylan Mulvaney. In North America, organic revenue, seen as the best measure of operating performance, plunged $1.4 billion last year as beer sales by volume tumbled in the region, primarily due to a decline in Bud Light sales in the United States. Bud Light sales tanked after the company’s partnership with Mulvaney sparked an anti-trans backlash and calls for a boycott. The firestorm saw Mexican lager Modelo Especial dethrone Bud Light last May as America’s top-selling beer, a title the brand had held for more than two decades.
Persons: BUD, Bud Light, Dylan Mulvaney, Beer, Mulvaney, Bud, Aarin, Hargreaves, Organizations: London CNN, Bud, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Bud Light, Modelo, , Teamsters, InBev, InBev’s, Budweiser Brewing Company Locations: North America, United States, InBev’s Asia, Hong Kong, South Korea, China
Apple cancels work on an electric car, reports say
  + stars: | 2024-02-28 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
London CNN —Apple has abandoned decade-long efforts to build a self-driving electric car, according to multiple media reports, calling time on a project that some saw as potentially transformative for the auto industry. The news comes as electric vehicle (EV) sales have disappointed, prompting several major manufacturers to pull back on investments. Apple had been hiring automotive executives since at least 2014 and, in April 2017, it received a permit from the California Department of Motor Vehicles to test self-driving vehicles. Two years later, it acquired Drive.ai, a self-driving car startup. In 2020, Morgan Stanley analysts said an Apple car had the potential to be “a transformative event” for the automobile and mobility industry in the coming decades, much as the iPhone disrupted the mobile phone industry.
Persons: London CNN —, Morgan Stanley Organizations: London CNN, London CNN — Apple, Bloomberg, CNN, Apple, California Department of Motor Vehicles, BMW
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New Delhi/London CNN —Disney is joining forces with Asia’s richest man to create a new media giant in India that says it will reach a domestic audience of more than 750 million people. Billionaire Mukesh Ambani’s Reliance Industries and Disney have combined their digital streaming platforms and 100 TV channels in the country in a joint venture worth about $8.5 billion, the companies said in a statement Wednesday. Disney (DIS) made a major push into the country in 2019, when it acquired most of 21st Century Fox, including its vast Star India network. “India is the world’s most populous market, and we are excited for the opportunities that this joint venture will provide to create long-term value for the company,” said Disney CEO Bob Iger. Disney salvaging its Indian dreamDisney has faced multiple challenges in India, which boasts a vibrant media and entertainment sector.
Persons: Mukesh, , Mukesh Ambani, Nita M, Ambani, Viacom18, Bob Iger, Mouse, Weeks, JioCinema, Iger, , Mihir Shah Organizations: London CNN, Disney, Reliance Industries, Century Fox, Star, Reliance, Indian Premier League, Warner Bros ., HBO, CNN, Media Partners Locations: New Delhi, London, India, Star India, Viacom18
New York CNN —Retail investors are optimistic about the stock market again despite a backdrop of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. CNN’s Fear & Greed Index, which measures seven barometers of market sentiment, closed at an “extreme greed” reading on Thursday. Unsurprisingly, investors are largely bullish on artificial intelligence-related stocks over the next three months, according to the Schwab survey. The job market has also stayed remarkably strong even as interest rates hover around a 23-year high, helping keep recession worries at bay. About 48% of traders believe the US will likely avoid a recession this year, up from 23% last quarter, according to the Schwab survey.
Persons: Charles Schwab, Schwab, , James Kostulias, stoking, Anna Bahney, , Lawrence Yun, Read, Henri Nestlé, Wegovy, Hanna Ziady, Mark Schneider, ” Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Retail, , Dow Jones, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal, National Association of Realtors, NAR Locations: New York, United Kingdom, Japan, Washington, Swiss
London CNN —In 1867, pharmacist Henri Nestlé combined dried cow’s milk with cereals and sugar to create a safe, easily digestible breast-milk substitute. Less infant formulaThe company also plans to use its expertise in nutrition to develop products that serve the growing numbers of older consumers. Nutrition for older consumers“Clearly, across the world in most major markets, the elderly and older population is growing. On current trends, that number is expected to increase to more than 4 billion by 2035, according to the World Obesity Federation. In September, Nestlé announced plans to increase sales of more nutritious products by 20-25 billion francs ($22.8-$28.5 billion) by 2030.
Persons: Henri Nestlé, Wegovy, Mark Schneider, ” Schneider, Schneider, Nestlé, we’re Organizations: London CNN —, United Nations, Schneider, Nutrition, Omega, World Obesity Locations: Swiss, Ireland, Wegovy
Of the total, $3 billion was related to BoCom, one of China’s biggest banks, while $2 billion was from selling its retail banking business in France. Separately, HSBC made $3.4 billion in provisions to cover expected credit losses and other charges related to its exposure to the commercial real estate sector in mainland China. The property market has since entered a prolonged slump, marked by an ongoing decline in real estate investment and sales of property. The charges reported by HSBC cast a shadow over its record annual profit, which came in at $30.3 billion, up 78% from 2022. In October, rival Standard Chartered reported a $186 million credit impairment charge related to commercial real estate in the country.
Persons: , Matt Britzman, Hargreaves Lansdown, Mark Tucker, — Hanna Ziady Organizations: Hong Kong CNN — HSBC, China’s Bank of Communications, HSBC, HSBC isn’t, Chartered Locations: China, Hong Kong, Asia, France, BoCom, Mainland China
New York CNN —US markets broke a five-week winning streak last Friday after disappointing inflation data reignited economic and interest rate-related fears on Wall Street. Then last week, two key inflation indicators for January — the Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index — rose above Wall Street expectations. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said the new data showed that the Fed needs more confidence before cutting rates. I think in this case, the market isn’t necessarily telling you much about the economy’s fundamentals, the market is telling you what other market participants think. And I think that those economic fundamentals get you to the part that says, you know, it’s not not the economy.
Persons: Price, Thomas Barkin, Raphael Bostic, isn’t, Bell, Jared Bernstein, Joe Biden, I’m, they’re, It’s, it’s, Joe Weisenthal, Elisabeth Buchwald, Hanna Ziady, Liam Peach, ” Peach Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Richmond Fed, White House Council, Economic Advisers, CPI, Apple, Google, Nvidia, Microsoft, Capital, Discover Financial Services, Discover, Hamas, Gross, Israel’s, Bureau, Statistics, Capital Economics Locations: New York
London CNN —Israel’s output contracted sharply in the final three months of 2023, falling for the first time in nearly two years, as the war with Hamas takes a heavy toll on the economy. The conflict is expected to cost Israel around 255 billion shekels ($70.3 billion) by the end of 2025, equivalent to around 13% of GDP, according to the Bank of Israel. And earlier this month, Moody’s delivered Israel’s first ever credit rating downgrade, citing elevated political risk and deteriorating public finances stemming from the war. “Under a scenario of outright conflict… the negative economic impact would spread to more sectors and be longer-lasting,” Moody’s said. In 2023 as a whole, Israel’s economy grew 2%, according to the statistics office.
Persons: Liam Peach, ” Peach, Moody’s, Israel’s, , ” Moody’s, Ido Soen Organizations: London CNN, Hamas, Gross, Israel’s, Bureau, Statistics, Israel, Capital Economics, Bank of Israel Locations: Gaza, Israel, Lebanese
Britain falls into recession
  + stars: | 2024-02-15 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: 1 min
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London CNN —Tui, one of the world’s largest travel agencies, will leave the London Stock Exchange in June — the latest blow to the British capital’s longstanding reputation as the undisputed leader of Europe’s stock markets. Shareholders in the German company, which is dual-listed in London and Frankfurt, voted Tuesday to delist the firm from the London Stock Exchange. The company expects to cancel its shares on the London Stock Exchange in late June. A Tui cruise ship in Malaga port in June 2021. Jorge Guerrero/AFP/Getty ImagesHeadquartered in Hanover, Tui owns more than 400 hotels, 16 cruise ships, five airlines and 1,200 travel agencies.
Persons: London CNN —, Tui, Mathias Kiep, , , Delphine Currie, Reed Smith, Jorge Guerrero, “ It’s, ” Kiep, Sebastian Ebel Organizations: London CNN, London Stock Exchange, Shareholders, ARM Holdings, , Getty, Revenue, Canaries Locations: London, Frankfurt, United Kingdom, Germany, New York, , Amsterdam, Paris, Malaga, AFP, Hanover, Tui, Israel, East, Egypt, Cape Verde, Mexico, Thailand, Dominican Republic, South Africa, Red Sea, Yemen
Can Germany’s sputtering economy be revived in 2024?
  + stars: | 2024-02-10 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +11 min
Europe’s biggest economy shrank last year for the first time since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic. And the outlook isn’t much brighter: the International Monetary Fund predicts that Germany will be the slowest-growing major economy in 2024, eking out an increase of just 0.5%. “Germany needs a fundamental economic transformation,” Marcel Fratzcher, president of the German Institute for Economic Research in Berlin, told CNN. Carsten Koall/Getty ImagesHomegrown troublesAlongside an external environment that has become more hostile to Germany’s outward-facing economy, the country’s internal political climate has worsened. Businesses such as these, which can find new markets and applications for their know-how, may hold the key to reviving Germany’s moribund economy.
Persons: What’s, ” Marcel Fratzcher, , Carsten Brzeski, Jens Schlueter, Constanze Stelzenmuller, Christian Lindner, Olaf Scholz, Robert Habeck, Carsten Koall, Michael Probst, Karl Haeusgen, ” Sebastian Shukla, Chris Stern Organizations: London CNN — Trains, Lufthansa, International Monetary Fund, European Union, European Commission, German Institute for Economic Research, CNN, ING, Brookings Institution, Volkswagen, Biden, Free Democratic Party, Social Democratic Party and, Green Party, Deutsche, LinkedIn, Investors, SAP, chipmaker Infineon, Intel, MAN Energy Solutions, Germany’s Machinery, Equipment Manufacturers Association Locations: Europe’s, Germany, Ukraine, Berlin, Europe, China, Zwickau, United States, Russia, , Japan, masse, Frankfurt, , Hamburg, Jungheinrich, Augsburg, Munich, Esbjerg, Denmark
London CNN —Deutsche Pfandbriefbank, or PBB, a German lender focused on commercial real estate, has set aside more money for bad debts as it prepares for what it says is the worst decline in commercial property values in 15 years. PBB increased its provisions for last year by as much as €215 million ($231.7 million), it said in a statement Wednesday, citing “persistent weakness of the real estate markets.”“Despite these expenses, PBB remains profitable thanks to its financial strength — even in the greatest real estate crisis since the financial crisis,” it added. The bank expects to report a profit of €90 million ($97 million) for 2023. PBB is at least the second German bank to warn of potential losses on commercial real estate loans. Germany’s biggest lender Deutsche Bank said last week that it had allocated €123 million ($133 million) during the fourth quarter of last year to absorb potential defaults on its US commercial real estate loans.
Organizations: London CNN — Deutsche, PBB, Deutsche Bank
The savings will provide “necessary capacity for reinvestment to reinforce the resilience of our infrastructure as we absorb Credit Suisse and to drive sustainable growth by investing in talent, products and services,” it added. Already, UBS (UBS) slashed headcount in the fourth quarter by more than 3,100 to under 113,000, taking the number of layoffs announced last year above 16,000. “2023 was a defining year in UBS’s history with the acquisition of Credit Suisse,” CEO Sergio Ermotti said in a statement. UBS agreed to buy Credit Suisse last March for the bargain price of $3 billion in a rescue orchestrated by Swiss authorities to avert a banking sector meltdown. Ermotti has previously said that 2024 will be the “pivotal” year in the takeover of Credit Suisse, with the migration of IT systems presenting huge risks as the two banks merge operations across more than 50 countries.
Persons: Sergio Ermotti, Ermotti Organizations: London CNN, UBS, Credit Suisse, Swiss Locations: Switzerland, Swiss
London CNN —Tim Clark, the president of Emirates, has joined a chorus of airline executives in warning that Boeing is running out of time to restore its reputation following a series of safety and manufacturing blunders. I’m sure Dave Calhoun and Stan Deal are on that,” he added, referring to Boeing’s CEO and head of commercial airplanes respectively. Clark isn’t the first airline boss to criticize Boeing since part of the fuselage of a 737 Max 9 blew out mid-flight in early January. Clark said that for the first time Emirates would send its own engineers to observe the production process of the 777 at Boeing and its supplier Spirit AeroSystems. “The fact that we’re having to do that is testament to what has happened,” he told the Financial Times.
Persons: Tim Clark, Clark, “ They’ve, Dave Calhoun, Stan Deal, Clark isn’t, Scott Kirby, , “ Will, Will, they’ve, Calhoun’s, that’s, , Michael O’Leary, Brian West Organizations: London CNN, Emirates, Boeing, Financial, ” Emirates, CNBC, Alaska Airlines, Financial Times, “ Will Boeing, Will Boeing, CNN, Ryanair — Europe’s Locations: Alaska, Dubai, Indonesia, Ethiopia, Calhoun
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